The only serious argument
for incompatibilism that I know is the Consequence argument due, most famously,
to Peter van Inwagen. (An Essay on Free Will, OUP, 1983.)
The
version I will discuss is due to David Lewis. ("Are We Free to Break the Laws?”, Theoria 47 (1981), 113-121)
He
tells us to think of the argument as a reductio. A compatibilist
is someone who claims that the truth of determinism is compatible with the
existence of the kinds of abilities that we assume we have in typical situations
in which we deliberate and make a choice.
Let’s call these ‘ordinary abilities’. The Consequence argument claims
that if we suppose that a deterministic agent has ordinary abilities, we are forced to credit her with incredible abilities as well.
Here
is Lewis's argument.
Pretend
that determinism is true, and that I did
not raise my hand (at that department meeting, to vote on a proposal) but had
the ordinary ability to do so. If I had
exercised my ordinary ability – if I had raised my hand -- then either the
remote past or the laws of physics would have been different (would have to
have been different). But if that’s so, then I have at least one of two
incredible abilities – the ability to change the remote past or the ability to
change the laws. But to suppose that I have either of these incredible
abilities is absurd. So we must reject
the claim that I had the ordinary ability to raise my hand.
Van
Inwagen doesn't object to Lewis's way of stating his argument. On the contrary, he has said that Lewis's paper is “the finest essay that has ever been
written in defense of compatibilism – possibly the finest essay that has ever
been written about any aspect of the free will problem”. ("How to Think about the Problem of Free
Will”, Journal of Ethics (2008) 12,
337-341).
Van
Inwagen now agrees that the Consequence argument fails as a reductio.
However,
he claims that it has nevertheless succeeded in
"raising the price" of compatibilism. (Freedom to Break the Laws", Midwest Studies in Philosophy, 28 (2004),
Blackwell, 334-350).
I
disagree. I say that the argument neither succeeds as a reductio nor succeeds
in "raising the price" of
compatibilism - that is, the price of commonsense at a deterministic world. What the argument does achieve -- at least on
Lewis's articulation of it -- is a clear statement of the counterfactuals to
which the compatibilist is committed. The argument is valuable for this
reason. It makes it clear that we need
to understand counterfactuals in order to understand what's at stake in the
free will/determinism debate. But as an argument for incompatibilism, it fails.